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City:Fort Wayne US
Personal Data:Male,
Membership19years 182days ago.
Last Login17years 354days ago.
Last Move17years 105days ago.
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Message header
Area/Game:Wooden Ships & Iron Men
1Topic:Bugs and Improvements
Subject:Re: [WS&IM][BUG] What Are The Odds?
Posted by: HeadMMoid - 19years 88days ago.
Message text
sfatula wrote:
HeadMMoid wrote:
A friend and I just finished three games of Ambuscade vs Baionaise. In about 20 turns in which both vessels fired, the dice rolls for Baionaise were above those for Ambuscade in all but two turns (one of these was a tie, and in the other Baionaise rolled higher).



Your message said imprecise terms such as "in about 20 turns...". I would suggest you keep a log with exact details, perhaps you are right, but, I would think it would take an exact log to prove it. Data is a good thing. If you had a log showing the rolls for 20 turns for each ship, and, you only outrolled on 1 turn, I would say the odds are impossible. But, an exact log would be useful.

Just my suggestion, as a programmer.

Steve


Ok ... to be more precise ... it was either 19 or 20 rolls. Yes, I kept notes, but only after recognizing the pattern during the first game, and didn't have access to the early turns, in which the described situation did occur either once or twice.

A number of friends (either three or four) complained in the last few weeks that they felt (imprecise term) that this problem existed, but didn't have any hard numbers. I know I've noticed that they seemed to have grounds for their opinions, but it wasn't until the first of the three mentioned games, that it hit me. Ambuscade did not win the die roll in a single turn in which both ships fired. In the rematch (players exchanged sides), the exact same thing happened. In the third game (sides changed again), the two inconsistent rolls occurred.

When we get time, we will try this again.

Just my response, as a programming manager.

David
Messages thread
Posting elapsed timePosted bySubject

19years 90days HeadMMoid [WS&IM][BUG] What Are The Odds?
19years 88days sfatula Re: [WS&IM][BUG] What Are The Odds?
 19years 88days HeadMMoid Re: [WS&IM][BUG] What Are The Odds?
  19years 88days sfatula Re: [WS&IM][BUG] What Are The Odds?
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