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City:San Antonio, TX US
Personal Data:Male, born: June 26 1962
HomePage or other cool site:http://www.tkrphotography.com
Membership19years 333days ago.
Last Login4years 67days ago.
Last Move4years 70days ago.
shermanguy is currently Offline!Send a mail to shermanguy


Message header
Area/Game:Blue Max
Topic:Other
Subject:Re: Statistical Anomalies
Posted by: shermanguy - 17years 103days ago.
Message text
My first morning cup of coffee is kicking in and I just realized a mistake. The formula I gave is only good it the chit is pulled 14 times in a row with no other chit pulled. I misread the description.

shermanguy wrote:
While Flying_Neko gave a great answer, it didn't answer your question. I don't know the number of chits in BM so I can only tell you how to calulate it yourself. Here's an example. Using a die there is a 1 in 6 chance to roll any number. To roll that same number it become 1 in 36 (6*6), to roll it roll it again it is 1 in 216 (6*6*6) Does this provide you with the tools to get your answer? Another way to phase it would be the number of chits raised to the power of the number of rolls. Number of chits^14. Big number. Hope this helps.
TXWard wrote:
I was going to post this on the Official Bad Luck Thread, but it is really a tangent to that discussion anyhow.

Check out this ongoing League: http://www.youplay.it/play/tn_status.asp?GameID=4904&GameType=BM

Currently, there have been 14 kills in total. All 14 have been by Pilot Killed of Plane Explodes chit draws! What are the chances of that happening?

(31001 31310 00001 0)

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17years 105days TXWard [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
17years 105days flying_neko Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
17years 105days TXWard Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
 17years 105days flying_neko Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
  17years 104days TXWard Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
   17years 103days flying_neko Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
    17years 97days SkunkGuru Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
     17years 97days Calsir Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
      17years 97days BladeRunner Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
17years 105days ksnake Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
17years 105days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
17years 103days shermanguy Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
 17years 103days shermanguy Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
 17years 103days Calsir Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
  17years 103days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
   17years 103days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
    17years 103days BladeRunner Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
    17years 103days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
     17years 103days BladeRunner Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
      17years 101days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
       17years 101days ksnake Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
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    17years 103days Calsir Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
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17years 103days blan86 [BM][BUG] Possible fuel bug
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 17years 103days litehoof Re: [BM][BUG] Possible fuel bug
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